Welcome back to another Fantasy Premier League Attacking Analysis For Gameweek 38. This week Daniel Richardson returns to analyse which teams have the highest chance of finding the back of the net this weekend.
With Gameweek 38 being the last week of this season's Premier League we're hoping for a goal filled final day. Last week saw a mixture of results with a few upsets, a goalless draw between both now relegated sides Villa and Newcastle but also, plenty of goals from the likes of Sunderland and Swansea.
We are going to use recent goalscoring form, opposition defensive statistics and the bookies odds to determine which teams have the greatest chance of scoring.
Southampton continue their good run of form after beating a Spurs team that have had a pretty successful season. They sit top of this table with 11 goals in four games and we may see more from them in GW38 with them facing a sometimes dodgy defence in Crystal Palace.
After being crowned champions, Leicester haven't let up as they showed in last week's 3-1 win over Everton. However, they along with West Ham and Man City all seem to be enjoying their home fixtures more than away recently.
Whereas, Chelsea and Tottenham have scored more on the road in their last four matches despite them both only actually winning one of the four. Sunderland earned their place on this table ahead of the final Gameweek due to netting 6 in GW37 after they had two fixtures last week.
The bookies have given both Tottenham and Arsenal very high percentage chances of scoring 2 or more goals this weekend as they both come up against already relegated sides. In addition, Spurs have an average of 2 goals per game over their last four whilst Arsenal have averaged 1.25 goals per game. However, as they face Villa the bookies odds for the Gunners to grab at least 2 are understandable.
United, City and Southampton have all been given the same chance by the bookies with each of them having a slightly weaker opposition this week. Also, between these three teams they have scored a total of 26 goals across their last four fixtures.
Everton have been given a fairly high chance of scoring 2 or more goals considering their rather poor performances recently, with them failing to score last time out against Sunderland. Surprisingly, the Hammers are at the foot of this table despite their thrilling victory over Man United in their last ever game at The Boleyn.
This table shows a major change before the final week of the Premier League with Everton going straight to the top after losing to Sunderland. The Toffees have conceded a total of 11 goals in their last four resulting in an average of 2.75 goals conceded per game.
Watford and Stoke have also got the same average of 2.75 goals conceded per game however, haven't conceded as many big chances as Everton have recently. Stoke haven't won a match since they actually beat Watford back in GW31.
Despite two strong wins in their last two outings against West Ham and Liverpool, Swansea still appear in this table as one of the weaker defences having conceded 9 in their last four. But their opponents for this week, Man City, aren't far behind having conceded 7 themselves.
Recent Team Goalscoring Form:
The table below displays the top seven teams based on average goals per game (GPG). It also highlights how many of each team's goals were scored at home compared to away. The data taken from last four Premier League matches.| Team | Home | Away | GPG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 4 | 7 | 2.75 |
| West Ham | 9 | 1 | 2.5 |
| Leicester | 7 | 3 | 2.5 |
| Manchester City | 6 | 3 | 2.15 |
| Chelsea | 2 | 7 | 2.25 |
| Tottenham | 2 | 6 | 2.0 |
| Sunderland | 6 | 1 | 1.75 |
Team Odds To Score In Gameweek 38:
The table below displays the top seven teams based on the bookies odds to score anytime in Gameweek 38. The odds have been converted to an implied chance percentage.| Team | To Score |
|---|---|
| Tottenham | 87.89% |
| Arsenal | 87.50% |
| Man United | 71.45% |
| Man City | 71.45% |
| Southampton | 71.45% |
| Everton | 63.64% |
| West Ham | 55.56% |
Who Faces The Worst Defence In Gameweek 38:
The table below displays the top seven teams based on opposition defensive form. It highlights the opposing team's average number of goals conceded (GC) and big chances conceded (BCC) per game. The data taken from last four Premier League matches.| Team | Vs. | GC | BCC |
|---|---|---|---|
| nor | EVE | 2.75 | 3.75 |
| sun | WAT | 2.75 | 2.75 |
| whu | STK | 2.75 | 2.5 |
| mci | SWA | 2.25 | 3.25 |
| MUN | bou | 2.25 | 1.75 |
| ARS | avl | 2.0 | 2.5 |
