Introduction
This season FPLbet will have a weekly series of forward look articles designed to try and improve your points and profits. Whether you are an avid FPL player or whether you like to dabble in Football Index, Footstock, Sportstack or traditional betting, this article should be your first port of call before picking your teams or placing any bets for the week's Premier League fixtures.
All data is from the last six gameweeks and the information in this article is correct as of 14 December 2020.
The forward look - GW13:
| Wolves | v | Chelsea |
| 19% | Win % | 60% |
| 20% | Clean sheet % | 44% |
| Dendoncker (5) | Most big chances (last 6 GWs) | Werner (7) |
| Neto (4) | Most big chances created(last 6 GWs) | Ziyech (4) |
| Neto (31.2) | xFPL(xG, xA and xCS combined) | Chilwell (37.7) |
| 10 | Team big chances(last 6 GWs) | 18 (joint most) |
| 10 | Big chances conceded(last 6 GWs) | 4 (joint fewest) |
| Man City | v | West Brom |
| 92% | Win % | 4% |
| 62% | Clean sheet % | 5% |
| De Bryune (4) | Most big chances (last 6 GWs) | Bartley (2) |
| De Bryune (7) | Most big chances created(last 6 GWs) | Furlong (1) |
| De Bryune (44.4) | xFPL(xG, xA and xCS combined) | Johnstone (26.3) |
| 18 (joint most) | Team big chances(last 6 GWs) | 4 (fewest) |
| 4 (joint fewest) | Big chances conceded(last 6 GWs) | 16 |
| Arsenal | v | Southampton |
| 46% | Win % | 31% |
| 31% | Clean sheet % | 23% |
| Saka (3) | Most big chances (last 6 GWs) | Ings (3) |
| Bellerin (3) | Most big chances created(last 6 GWs) | Adams (4) |
| Tierney (30.2) | xFPL(xG, xA and xCS combined) | McCarthy (31.6) |
| 9 | Team big chances(last 6 GWs) | 9 |
| 8 | Big chances conceded(last 6 GWs) | 15 |
| Leeds | v | Newcastle |
| 57% | Win % | 22% |
| 38% | Clean sheet % | 18% |
| Bamford (8) | Most big chances (last 6 GWs) | Wilson (3) |
| Kilch (2) | Most big chances created(last 6 GWs) | Joelinton (2) |
| Bamford (36.1) | xFPL(xG, xA and xCS combined) | Darlow (23.8) |
| 13 | Team big chances(last 6 GWs) | 7 (joint second fewest) |
| 21 (most) | Big chances conceded(last 6 GWs) | 6 |
| Leicester | v | Everton |
| 47% | Win % | 31% |
| 29% | Clean sheet % | 22% |
| Vardy (8) | Most big chances (last 6 GWs) | Calvert-Lewin (6) |
| Vardy (2) | Most big chances created(last 6 GWs) | Digne (3) |
| Vardy (41.8) | xFPL(xG, xA and xCS combined) | Calvert-Lewin (34.5) |
| 16 (joint third most) | Team big chances(last 6 GWs) | 12 |
| 16 | Big chances conceded(last 6 GWs) | 18 (second most) |
| Fulham | v | Brighton |
| 35% | Win % | 41% |
| 29% | Clean sheet % | 31% |
| Cavaleiro (5) | Most big chances (last 6 GWs) | Maupay (3) |
| Lookman (2) | Most big chances created(last 6 GWs) | Welbeck (3) |
| Cavaleiro (35.4) | xFPL(xG, xA and xCS combined) | Gross (32.3) |
| 16 (joint third most) | Team big chances(last 6 GWs) | 12 |
| 17 (third most) | Big chances conceded(last 6 GWs) | 11 |
| Liverpool | v | Tottenham |
| 57% | Win % | 22% |
| 37% | Clean sheet % | 17% |
| Salah (4) | Most big chances (last 6 GWs) | Kane (4) |
| Robertson (2) | Most big chances created(last 6 GWs) | Ndombele (2) |
| Salah (34.6) | xFPL(xG, xA and xCS combined) | Reguillion (30.0) |
| 15 | Team big chances(last 6 GWs) | 10 |
| 14 | Big chances conceded(last 6 GWs) | 5 (second fewest) |
| West Ham | v | Crystal Palace |
| 49% | Win % | 28% |
| 37% | Clean sheet % | 25% |
| Soucek (3) | Most big chances (last 6 GWs) | Schlupp (2) |
| Bowen (3) | Most big chances created(last 6 GWs) | Eze (2) |
| Fabianski (28.6) | xFPL(xG, xA and xCS combined) | Van Arnholt (31.3) |
| 14 | Team big chances(last 6 GWs) | 10 |
| 13 | Big chances conceded(last 6 GWs) | 12 |
| Aston Villa | v | Burnley |
| 57% | Win % | 22% |
| 40% | Clean sheet % | 20% |
| Watkins (5) | Most big chances (last 6 GWs) | Wood (5) |
| Grealish (4) | Most big chances created(last 6 GWs) | McNeill (2) |
| Grealish (32.0) | xFPL(xG, xA and xCS combined) | Wood (27.6) |
| 14 | Team big chances(last 6 GWs) | 7 (joint second fewest) |
| 8 | Big chances conceded(last 6 GWs) | 15 |
| Sheffield United | v | Man United |
| 14% | Win % | 69% |
| 17% | Clean sheet % | 50% |
| McBurnie (4) | Most big chances (last 6 GWs) | Rashford (5) |
| Berge (3) | Most big chances created(last 6 GWs) | Fernandes (6) |
| Baldock (30.5) | xFPL(xG, xA and xCS combined) | Fernandes (43.3) |
| 10 | Team big chances(last 6 GWs) | 16 (joint third most) |
| 16 | Big chances conceded(last 6 GWs) | 11 |
Braveheart's GW12 review:
I won't dissect GW12 too much as I want to get this article out in good time ahead of GW13's deadline on Tuesday night. I had a good week and a small green arrow this week (up 20k to 650k). I ended up with 64 (-4) points. Returns from Captain Salah (16), Kane (9) and a heroic performance from Justin (11) and a pair of assists from Calvert-Lewin and Bamford. I have 1 FT heading into GW13 and 0.0m in the bank.
At the time of writing, the players on my "out list":
- Ramsdale - still no clean sheets and Sheffield United look like they are doomed for a relegation dogfight this season so I need to get rid of Ramsdale soon - Mendy and Martinez are potential replacements,
- Mahrez - he faces West Brom this week so he may remain for that unless it looks likely, following any Pep comments, that he may not play but I will likely keep Mahrez for GW12 and look to replace him for Son in the not too distant future.
Braveheart's GW13 reveal:
I may finally get rid of Ramsdale this week (for Martinez as I cannot bring in Mendy without a hit and I won't be taking a hit for a goalkeeper). I may also do nothing and use 2 FTs next week to reshape the Mahrez position in my team. I'm also pondering Salah to KDB but that would cause problems down the line as I would want Salah back shortly. One of my many FPL mantras is: if in doubt, do nothing.
If I make no moves this gameweek, my team for GW13 will be as follows:
- Ramsdale v Man United (h)
- Chilwell v Wolves (a)
- Justin v Everton (h)
- Walker-Peters v Arsenal (a)
- Salah v Tottenham (h)
- Fernandes (captain) v Sheffield United (a)
- Mahrez v West Brom (h)
- Grealish v Burnley (h)
- Kane v Liverpool (a)
- Calvert-Lewin v Leicester (a)
- Bamford v Bamford (h)
The team is not set in stone until the deadline so please follow me at @FPLBraveheart on Twitter for any updates. All the best and I hope everyone reading gets green arrows in GW13. But, most importantly, stay safe out there (or, more accurately, at home)!
