Introduction
This season FPLbet will have a weekly series of forward look articles designed to try and improve your points and profits. Whether you are an avid FPL player or whether you like to dabble in Football Index, Footstock, Sportstack or traditional betting, this article should be your first port of call before picking your teams or placing any bets for the week's Premier League fixtures.
All data is from the last six gameweeks and the information in this article is correct as of 01 December 2020.
The forward look - GW11:
The forward look - Gameweek 11:
| Aston Villa | v | Newcastle |
| 62% | Win % | 18% |
| 40% | Clean sheet % | 18% |
| Watkins (6) | Most big chances (last 6 GWs) | Wilson (4) |
| Grealish (5) | Most big chances created(last 6 GWs) | Wilson (1) |
| Grealish (40.7) | xFPL(xG, xA and xCS combined) | Darlow (30.2) |
| 17 (second most) | Team big chances(last 6 GWs) | 7 |
| 10 | Big chances conceded(last 6 GWs) | 8 |
| Burnley | v | Everton |
| 24% | Win % | 53% |
| 23% | Clean sheet % | 38% |
| Wood (5) | Most big chances (last 6 GWs) | Calvert-Lewin (5) |
| Westwood (2) | Most big chances created(last 6 GWs) | Digne (5) |
| Wood (26.4) | xFPL(xG, xA and xCS combined) | Calvert-Lewin (32.4) |
| 8 | Team big chances(last 6 GWs) | 10 |
| 9 | Big chances conceded(last 6 GWs) | 20 (most) |
| Man City | v | Fulham |
| 91% | Win % | 6% |
| 58% | Clean sheet % | 5% |
| Mahrez (2) | Most big chances (last 6 GWs) | Mitrovic (4) |
| De Bryune (5) | Most big chances created(last 6 GWs) | Lookman (2) |
| Dias (32.8) | xFPL(xG, xA and xCS combined) | Lookman (36.1) |
| 13 | Team big chances(last 6 GWs) | 14 |
| 5 (joint third fewest) | Big chances conceded(last 6 GWs) | 14 |
| West Ham | v | Man United |
| 28% | Win % | 50% |
| 22% | Clean sheet % | 31% |
| Soucek (2) | Most big chances (last 6 GWs) | Fernandes (5) |
| Bowen (2) | Most big chances created(last 6 GWs) | Fernandes (5) |
| Fabianski (28.9) | xFPL(xG, xA and xCS combined) | Fernandes (48.6) |
| 6 (third fewest) | Team big chances(last 6 GWs) | 15 (joint third most) |
| 13 | Big chances conceded(last 6 GWs) | 3 (fewest) |
| Chelsea | v | Leeds United |
| 65% | Win % | 15% |
| 38% | Clean sheet % | 13% |
| Werner (6) | Most big chances (last 6 GWs) | Bamford (10) |
| Ziyech (4) | Most big chances created(last 6 GWs) | Harrison (3) |
| Chilwell (38.1) | xFPL(xG, xA and xCS combined) | Bamford (40.3) |
| 12 | Team big chances(last 6 GWs) | 15 (joint third most) |
| 4 (second fewest) | Big chances conceded(last 6 GWs) | 15 |
| West Brom | v | Crystal Palace |
| 37% | Win % | 39% |
| 33% | Clean sheet % | 33% |
| Bartley (2) | Most big chances (last 6 GWs) | Zaha (3) |
| Pereira (1) | Most big chances created(last 6 GWs) | Zaha (3) |
| Johnstone (28.6) | xFPL(xG, xA and xCS combined) | Zaha (27.8) |
| 4 (fewest) | Team big chances(last 6 GWs) | 12 |
| 17 (joint second most) | Big chances conceded(last 6 GWs) | 11 |
| Sheffield United | v | Leicester City |
| 28% | Win % | 50% |
| 25% | Clean sheet % | 38% |
| McBurnie (7) | Most big chances (last 6 GWs) | Vardy (7) |
| Baldock (3) | Most big chances created(last 6 GWs) | Under (3) |
| Baldock (32.2) | xFPL(xG, xA and xCS combined) | Vardy (36.6) |
| 15 (joint third most) | Team big chances(last 6 GWs) | 13 |
| 17 (joint second most) | Big chances conceded(last 6 GWs) | 16 (third most) |
| Tottenham | v | Arsenal |
| 53% | Win % | 26% |
| 38% | Clean sheet % | 4.33 |
| Kane (4) | Most big chances (last 6 GWs) | Saka (3) |
| Kane (3) | Most big chances created(last 6 GWs) | Bellerin (2) |
| Kane (31.8) | xFPL(xG, xA and xCS combined) | Leno (28.5) |
| 12 | Team big chances(last 6 GWs) | 7 |
| 5 (joint third fewest) | Big chances conceded(last 6 GWs) | 12 |
| Liverpool | v | Wolves |
| 67% | Win % | 17% |
| 46% | Clean sheet % | 15% |
| Mane (5) | Most big chances (last 6 GWs) | Dendoncker (4) |
| Robertson (4) | Most big chances created(last 6 GWs) | Neto (3) |
| Mane (35.3) | xFPL(xG, xA and xCS combined) | Podence (31.2) |
| 19 (most) | Team big chances(last 6 GWs) | 10 |
| 14 | Big chances conceded(last 6 GWs) | 8 |
| Brighton | v | Southampton |
| 40% | Win % | 37% |
| 29% | Clean sheet % | 29% |
| Maupay (4) | Most big chances (last 6 GWs) | Walcott (2) |
| Lallana (3) | Most big chances created(last 6 GWs) | Adams (3) |
| Webster (29.8) | xFPL(xG, xA and xCS combined) | Vestergaard (29.6) |
| 9 | Team big chances(last 6 GWs) | 5 (second fewest) |
| 8 | Big chances conceded(last 6 GWs) | 14 |
Braveheart's GW10 review:
Gameweek 10 was a decent week and included a fourth green arrow in a row (albeit a smaller one than the previous ones). My team earned 52 points for a green arrow of 50k to 510k. My captain, the returning Egyptian King, got 12 points. This was supported by returns from Bruno (10), Grealish (10) and Chilwell (8). Ramsdale and Mitrovic continue to disappoint (the latter has been dropped for both of the last two matches) whereas Ziyech's form has dropped off since I brought him into my team which is frustrating. I have no City players, which might be an oversight as they are on the back of a strong showing against Burnley and have a very good fixture this week against Fulham.
At the time of writing, the players on my "out list":
- Ramsdale - still no clean sheets and Sheffield United look like they are doomed for a relegation dogfight this season so I will need to get rid of Ramsdale soon - Mendy a potential replacement,
- Ziyech - he has only had two gameweeks but his form has dropped significantly in those two matches (albeit one was against Spurs) with a xG of 0.16 and an xA of 0.17 in those matches, I may give Ziyech more time but, depending on the Man City Champions League line-up, Ziyech might be the player to make way for some City attacking cover against Fulham this weekend,
- Mitrovic - the Serbian was responsible for one of the highlights of my season as his penalty was saved by David Marshall to send SCOTLAND TO THE EUROS but domestically he was dropped in Gameweek 9 and 10, looks to be off penalties for Fulham and is the biggest weakness in my first eleven, I'm still keen to replace him with a better cheap forward (Bamford, Watkins or Wilson) however I'm not entirely sure which one I prefer. I have a slight preference for Watkins due to his next few fixtures.
Braveheart's GW11 reveal:
Depending on the City line-up in the Champions League, I will either transfer Ziyech to Mahrez or Mitrovic to Watkins/Wilson. I would like to have De Bryune for this weekend's fixture against Fulham but, unfortunately, I'd need to lose Salah or Bruno to get him and those players are their team's tailsmen, likely penalty takers and score more than they assist so for now I think I will probably watch the Fulham match from behind the couch.
If I make the moves I'm thinking of making (Mitrovic to Watkins), my team for GW11 will be as follows:
- Ramsdale v Leicester (h)
- Chilwell v Leeds (h)
- Justin v Sheffield United (a)
- Walker-Peters v Brighton (a)
- Salah (captain) v Wolves (h)
- Fernandes (vice captain) v West Ham (a)
- Ziyech v Leeds (h)
- Grealish v Newcastle (h)
- Kane v Arsenal (h)
- Calvert-Lewin v Burnley (a)
- Watkins v Newcastle (h)
The team is not set in stone until the deadline so please follow me at @FPLBraveheart on Twitter for any updates. All the best and I hope everyone reading gets green arrows in GW11. But, most importantly, stay safe out there (or, more accurately, at home)!
