Tuesday Mar 8 Fantasy Champions League Tips For Daily Fantasy Football Betting
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Fantasy Champions League Round of 16 commences on Tuesday 8th of March as Wolfsburg host Belgian outfit Gent and Roma make the trip to the Bernabeu to face Spanish giants Real Madrid.
Once again, NaturalFootyFan returns to provide daily fantasy football tips for the Mondogoal and FantasyBet contests.
The small slate means less variance amongst daily fantasy teams, which subsequently increases the importance of calling the clean sheets, goal scorers and differentials.
This article will be split into two sections. First is a Defensive Analysis - to gauge clean sheet potential, followed by an Attacking Analysis - to determine scoring potential. We will make use of the bookies odds in both occasions, to provide a fair comparison.
It's clear to see that both clubs playing on home soil, Real Madrid and Wolfsburg, are the heavy favourites. The pair already hold a significant advantage coming into their respective ties, as Real Madrid defeated Roma by two goals to nil in the reverse fixture, while Wolfsburg racked up three away goals in their first leg victory over Gent.
Real Madrid have kept 13 clean sheets in their last 17 Champions League matches and with their two-goal advantage, will be encouraged to keep things simple and hold possession. For this reason, Sergio Ramos and Raphael Varane are great options - available at drop down prices compared to Real's attacking fullbacks.
Although expensive, we do advise coughing up the cash for Keylor Navas. According to the bookies odds, Wolfsburg have an equal chance with Real Madrid of keeping a clean sheet, however, we think differently.
Gent have scored in each and every Champions League match they have played in this season (seven games), and with the need to score at least twice to have a chance of progressing, we can't confidently recommend Casteels or Benaglio of Wolfsburg.
With slightly less emphasis placed upon a shutout in your defence, especially on Mondogoal, Ricardo Rodriguez offers a decent output for the German Side. After a period of being in and out of the starting XI, the 23-year-old seems to have finally nailed down the left-back slot.
With three goals in nine Champions League games last season, the Switzerland International will be hoping to tap into this attacking potential. He's a fantastic offensive defender, who will take some corners and freekicks as well.
Keylor Navas (Mondogoal: £8.9m, FantasyBet: £6.5m)
Sergio Ramos (Mondogoal: £8.4m, FantasyBet: £7.0m)
Raphael Varane (Mondogoal: £7.5m, FantasyBet: £6.0m)
Ricardo Rodriguez (Mondogoal: £7.7m, FantasyBet: £6.5m)
The goal-scoring potential follows a similar trend to our defensive analysis, in terms of both home clubs coming out as outright favourites. Once again, Real Madrid and Wolfsburg have the highest chance of finding the back of the net, so we will base our recommendations loosely around this. Nevertheless, there are some excellent differential options if you do a bit of digging.
Cristiano Ronaldo will be the first player on just about everyone's team, after scoring five goals in his last two appearances in La Liga. With Karim Benzema ruled out with a hamstring injury, the three-times Ballon d'Or winner looks set to lead the line.
For further Real Madrid coverage, keep an eye out for Jese. The young Spaniard, who also impressed at the weekend with a goal in his 20 minute cameo, is almost four times cheaper than Ronaldo on Mondogoal. If he gets the nod, Jese will be a popular pick on every site.
Next we delve into the Wolfsburg midfield and your best option here is Julian Draxler. The 22-year-old, who was once linked with just about every top side in Europe, has hit form with six goals in his last eight appearances in all competitions.
The German was handed a free-role by manager Dieter Hecking, and he's 100% paid him back performance-wise in recent weeks. If you cannot afford Draxler, Andre Schurrle is a cost effective alternative.
As we mentioned in the defensive analysis, we fancy Gent to snatch at least a goal. Creative midfielder, Danijel Milicevic, has contributed with 43% of his side's goals in this competition and takes the majority of set-pieces.
The midfielder, who has made an average of 2.3 key passes per game in the Champions League this season, was poor in the first leg and will be desperate to bounce back with a bang.
Four of Gent's last five Champions League goals have been scored in the final 15 minutes. Conversely, four of the last five goals conceded by Wolfsburg have come in that period.
With this in mind, Kalifa Coulibaly has scored two goals in his last three Champions League appearances, all as substitute. So if you want an extreme differential, who might feature in Gent's productive period, then Coulibaly's your man.
Cristiano Ronaldo (Mondogoal: £20.5m, FantasyBet: £12.5m)
Jese (Mondogoal: £5.4m, FantasyBet: £7.0m)
Julian Draxler (Mondogoal: £10.4m, FantasyBet: £9.5m)
Andre Schurrle (Mondogoal: £6.1m, FantasyBet: £8.5m)
Danijel Milicevic (Mondogoal: £8.0m, FantasyBet: £6.0m)
Kalifa Coulibaly (Mondogoal: £6.0m, FantasyBet: £5.5m)
Defensive Analysis
The table below highlights which clubs are most likely to keep a clean sheet according to the bookies odds, converted into an implied chance percentage:| Team | Implied Chance % |
|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 43% |
| Roma | 13% |
| Wolfsburg | 43% |
| Gent | 15% |
Attacking Analysis
The table below highlights which clubs are most likely to score 2+ goals according to the bookies odds, converted into an implied chance percentage:| Team | Implied Chance % |
|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 75% |
| Roma | 22% |
| Wolfsburg | 67% |
| Gent | 25% |
