Dec 14

Fantasy Premier League Attacking Analysis For Gameweek 36

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Welcome back to another Fantasy Premier League Attacking Analysis For Gameweek 36. This week Daniel Richardson returns to analyse which teams have the highest chance of finding the back of the net this weekend. Despite a slight lack of games in the last Gameweek there was still a total of 25 goals scored in just 7 matches and with all teams having a fixture in Gameweek 36, this can only look promising.   We are going to use recent goalscoring form, opposition defensive statistics and the bookies odds to determine which teams have the greatest chance of scoring.

Recent Team Goalscoring Form:

The table below displays the top seven teams based on average goals per game (GPG). It also highlights how many of each team's goals were scored at home compared to away. The data taken from last four Premier League matches.
Team Home Away GPG
Liverpool 10 2 3.0
Man City 6 4 2.5
West Ham 8 2 2.5
Tottenham 4 5 2.25
Leicester 7 2 2.25
Chelsea 0 8 2.0
Southampton 3 5 2.0
  The top three sides in goalscoring form all seem to prefer playing in front of their home crowd, Liverpool in particular with them scoring 8 more at home than they have away recently. Man City come into GW36 on the back of a big win against Stoke last time out. Tottenham have been taking their chances in both home and away fixtures, but they face a tough task going to Stamford Bridge on Monday night. However, as you can see Chelsea definitely prefer their away matches at the minute so this may give Spurs the upper hand. League leader's Leicester are another team in fine goalscoring form at home, showing they don't just rely on Jamie Vardy for their goals after their performance against Swansea last week. Southampton also appear on this table so be expecting some goals in their clash with Man City.  

Team Odds To Score In Gameweek 36:

The table below displays the top seven teams based on the bookies odds to score anytime in Gameweek 34. The odds have been converted to an implied chance percentage.
Team To Score
Arsenal 76.92%
Everton 57.89%
Watford 54.55%
Newcastle 50.00%
West Ham 47.62%
Man United 45.45%
Liverpool 45.45%
  Arsenal are expected to grab a few goals in their upcoming match with them facing a slightly shaky defence in Norwich. The Gunners failed to score last time out so will be looking to get back into solid goalscoring form. The bookies also predict that Everton have a good chance of scoring 2 or more goals in GW36 despite them only scoring a total of 2 goals in their last four games. Watford have also been given a fairly high chance of scoring a few due to them facing already relegated side, Aston Villa. Newcastle are a side that's been in good form recently, scoring 7 in their last four matches however they have only won one of those four. Even though they top the goalscoring table, Liverpool sit bottom of this one with the bookies thinking they might not have it as easy this week.

Who Faces The Worst Defence In Gameweek 36:

The table below displays the top seven teams based on opposition defensive form. It highlights the opposing team's average number of goals conceded (GC) and big chances conceded (BCC) per game. The data taken from last four Premier League matches.
Team Vs. GC BCC
sun STO 3.5 2.5
WAT avl 2.75 3.0
EVE bou 2.75 1.25
liv SWA 2.25 3.0
avl WAT 2.00 1.00
WBA whu 1.50 2.85
After conceding four goals against Man City, Tottenham and Liverpool resulting in a total of 16 in their last four games, Stoke sit top of this table. Villa have made a constant appearance in this table throughout the season as they follow closely behind Stoke, the side in claret and blue have conceded 11 goals in their last four hence why the bookies are backing Watford. Bournemouth have conceded the same amount of goals however not as many big chances. With Everton not in the best goalscoring form, if the Cherries can keep their conceded chances to a minimum they may have a good chance in their upcoming match. Watford also appear on this worst defences table; so we could see more goals than expected when they face Villa if both defences have a poor game. With Arsenal being in good goalscoring form up until last week, Norwich will have to be much more solid at the back than they have been if they don't want the Gunners to put a handful past them.