Welcome back to another Fantasy Premier League Attacking Analysis For Gameweek 34. This week Daniel Richardson returns to analyse which teams have the highest chance of finding the back of the net this weekend.
Gameweek 33 gave us more goals from some of the Premier League's top goalscorers such as Jamie Vardy and Agüero, however we also saw a more unlikely scorer in Andy Carroll grab a hat trick against the Gunners. With 10 goals being scored from just the top 4 teams last week, we're hoping for plenty more in GW34.
We are going to use recent goalscoring form, opposition defensive statistics and the bookies odds to determine which teams have the greatest chance of scoring.
Recent Team Goalscoring Form:
The table below displays the top seven teams based on average goals per game (GPG). It also highlights how many of each team's goals were scored at home compared to away. The data taken from last four Premier League matches.
| Team |
Home |
Away |
GPG |
| Arsenal |
4 |
7 |
2.75 |
| West Ham |
5 |
5 |
2.50 |
| Liverpool |
5 |
4 |
2.25 |
| Tottenham |
6 |
3 |
2.25 |
| Southampton |
6 |
2 |
2.00 |
| Chelsea |
3 |
4 |
1.75 |
| Man City |
2 |
4 |
1.50 |
The game between Arsenal and West ham last week gave us plenty of action with a 6 goal thriller split evenly between the two sides. But with Arsenal scoring 11 goals in their last four matches, they continue to sit top of this table.
Unsurprisingly, West Ham follow close behind with just a goal less in their last four, after Carroll put 3 past Ospina. Both Tottenham and Liverpool seem to prefer playing at home, however they are still managing to convert chances in their away matches.
Before Chelsea's defeat to Swansea last week, both themselves and Manchester City, were enjoying a slightly better run of form away from home when it comes to goals. This might give City the edge at Stamford Bridge in GW34.
Team Odds To Score In Gameweek 34:
The table below displays the top seven teams based on the bookies odds to score anytime in Gameweek 34. The odds have been converted to an implied chance percentage.
| Team |
To Score |
| Arsenal |
73.34% |
| Man United |
73.34% |
| Tottenham |
54.55% |
| Leicester |
52.38% |
| Liverpool |
47.62% |
| Chelsea |
44.44% |
| Everton |
44.44% |
Despite not being known for their huge amount of goals this season, the bookies have given United the same chance as Arsenal of scoring 2 or more goals, possibly because they come up against Villa in GW34. United and Arsenal both also face Crystal Palace this Gameweek.
After putting 3 past Manchester United within six minutes last week even without their top goalscorer Harry Kane grabbing a goal, Spurs will be looking to do the same to Stoke in their next fixture. Leicester claimed a solid win last time out but face a tougher opponent this Gameweek as they face The Hammers, but the bookies still fancy them to grab a few goals.
The Merseyside derby takes place in this Gameweek and the bookies are expecting quite a close encounter with both Liverpool and Everton given a fairly low percentage chance of scoring 2 or more goals. The Toffee's have only scored once in their last four matches.
Who Faces The Worst Defence In Gameweek 34:
The table below displays the top seven teams based on opposition defensive form. It highlights the opposing team's average number of goals conceded (GC) and big chances conceded (BCC) per game. The data taken from last four Premier League matches.
| Team |
Vs. |
GC |
BCC |
| LIV |
BOU |
2.50 |
1.00 |
| LEI/WAT |
WHU |
2.25 |
2.50 |
| MUN |
AVL |
2.25 |
2.00 |
| TOT |
STO |
2.25 |
1.25 |
| MCI/SWA |
NEW |
2.00 |
1.00 |
| BOU/EVE |
LIV |
1.50 |
2.00 |
| EVE |
SOU |
1.25 |
1.25 |
Bournemouth move to the top of the worst defence table after two large defeats by both Tottenham and Man City in gameweek 31 and 32, in which they conceded 7 goals in just the two games. However, Liverpool also appear on this table which suggests this fixture could bring a lot of goals.
West Ham haven't lost a Premier League match since GW25 but have conceded 11 goals since then resulting in them being the second worst defence over the last four games. They've conceded the same average amount of goals per game as Aston Villa, who have been very week defensively this season, and they follow the Hammers at a close third.
Although Newcastle are a bit further down on the table, they face a strong Man City side who will be looking to take every chance that arises. Despite Southampton only conceding a singular goal against the league leaders they find themselves in the top 7 worst defences. However, they will be looking to keep a clean sheet this week with Everton in poor goalscoring form.
