Welcome back to another Fantasy Premier League Attacking Analysis For Gameweek 33. This week Daniel Richardson returns to analyse which teams have the highest chance of finding the back of the net this weekend.
The last Gameweek saw a total of 29 goals in the Premier League with some big wins from some of the big teams in the competition. Kevin De Bruyne is hopefully back in form with his first goal since Boxing Day and Alexandre Pato got off the mark at Chelsea with a debut goal. We will be looking for this to continue in Gameweek 33.
We are going to use recent goalscoring form, opposition defensive statistics and the bookies odds to determine which teams have the greatest chance of scoring.
Recent Team Goalscoring Form:
The table below displays the top seven teams based on average goals per game (GPG). It also highlights how many of each team's goals were scored at home compared to away. The data taken from last four Premier League matches.
| Team |
Home |
Away |
GPG |
| Arsenal |
5 |
4 |
2.25 |
| Chelsea |
3 |
6 |
2.25 |
| Man City |
4 |
4 |
2.0 |
| Liverpool |
4 |
4 |
2.0 |
| Tottenham |
5 |
3 |
2.0 |
| West Ham |
3 |
5 |
2.0 |
| Swansea |
2 |
4 |
1.50 |
Arsenal, Chelsea and Man City are all on top goalscoring form after they all secured solid wins last weekend, scoring 4 goals each. The only difference with Arsenal and Chelsea is that the Gunners seem to prefer the Emirates whereas, the Blues seem to be having more joy on the road in recent matches.
Both Man City and Liverpool are managing to convert their chances in both home and away fixtures at the moment. With Arsenal topping this table and West Ham also appearing with an average of 2 goals per game, we may be expecting a few goals when these two clash in Gameweek 33.
The stats show that Tottenham do prefer their home matches, winning 3-0 in their last outing at White Heart Lane, however United should be a tougher task this week. Swansea are another side in good goal scoring form which could lead to an exciting spectacle as they face Chelsea this weekend, but on recent form Chelsea should net more than the Swans.
Team Odds To Score In Gameweek 33:
The table below displays the top seven teams based on the bookies odds to score anytime in Gameweek 33. The odds have been converted to an implied chance percentage.
| Team |
To Score |
| Man City |
71% |
| Southampton |
60% |
| Liverpool |
57% |
| Arsenal |
54% |
| Tottenham |
50% |
| Chelsea |
47% |
| Bournemouth |
45% |
After grabbing 4 goals with 4 different goalscorers last weekend, Man City showed they have plenty of players capable of putting the ball in the back of the net. With the return of De Bruyne, the bookies think City will continue to rack up the goals.
Southampton face a weak defence this weekend in Newcastle, and with them preferring their home games due to scoring 4 in their last 2 home fixtures, the bookies think the Saints will add to their average of 1.5 goals per game.
Arsenal come up against a much stronger opposition in this Gameweek, but the bookies are still backing them to get a few. Whilst Bournemouth just appear in the bookies top 7 to score 2 or more goals as they clash with Villa who have been rock bottom in both the league and form recently.
Who Faces The Worst Defence In Gameweek 33:
The table below displays the top seven teams based on opposition defensive form. It highlights the opposing team's average number of goals conceded (GC) and big chances conceded (BCC) per game. The data taken from last four Premier League matches.
| Team |
Vs. |
GC |
BCC |
| Bou |
AVL |
2.75 |
2.75 |
| AVL |
Bou |
2.5 |
1.25 |
| Eve |
WAT |
2.0 |
2.75 |
| SOU |
New |
2.0 |
0.75 |
| Nor |
CRY |
1.75 |
2.0 |
| WAT |
Eve |
1.75 |
1.75 |
| Ars |
WHU |
1.5 |
2.25 |
As a result of their poor performances, Aston Villa stay top of this table for another week. However, with the first and second worst defences in recent matches coming up against each other this week, it is possible we could see a high scoring match with neither side having a solid back line.
Watford have not won a game since GW26, and after their 4-0 defeat last time out, they have also conceded 9 goals in the process, so could see themselves receiving another beating at the hands of Everton. But the Toffee's don't have the best defence either, as they appear on the worst defences conceding an average of 1.75 goals in their last four games.
West Ham have the second highest average of big chances conceded and facing a team like Arsenal, this may prove to be costly. Meanwhile, Newcastle haven't earned all 3 points since GW25 and have conceded 14 goals along the way.
