Welcome back to another Fantasy Premier League Attacking Analysis For Gameweek 32. This week Daniel Richardson returns to analyse which teams have the highest chance of finding the back of the net this weekend.
After the international break, Gameweek 32 of the Premier League returns this weekend and plenty of goals should be expected. Especially with Vardy and Kane being in the spotlight, after the pair scored three of England's four goals between them.
We are going to use recent goalscoring form, opposition defensive statistics and the bookies odds to determine which teams have the greatest chance of scoring.
Recent Team Goalscoring Form:
The table below displays the top seven teams based on average goals per game (GPG). It also highlights how many of each team's goals were scored at home compared to away. The data taken from last four Premier League matches.
| Team |
Home |
Away |
GPG |
| Liverpool |
3 |
10 |
3.25 |
| Bournemouth |
5 |
3 |
2.00 |
| Tottenham |
5 |
2 |
1.75 |
| West Ham |
2 |
5 |
1.75 |
| Chelsea |
3 |
4 |
1.75 |
| Arsenal |
1 |
6 |
1.75 |
| Southampton |
4 |
2 |
1.50 |
Due to missing out on Gameweeks 27 and 30,
Liverpool's data goes back to their away win against Aston Villa in GW26, when they put six past a poor Villa side - with six different goalscorers on the day. However, their next fixture against Tottenham looks to be a goal fest, with both sides in good goalscoring form. Spurs also have a high goals per game ratio, having scored three versus Bournemouth in their last Premier League match.
Despite
Bournemouth scoring five goals in their last two home games, it will take something special for this to continue. The Cherries face a Man City side who will be hoping to bounce back after their defeat in the Manchester derby with a convincing win.
West Ham, Chelsea and Arsenal are all netting more goals on the road than at home, with the trio in fairly strong goalscoring form recently - firing in two goals each in GW31. Southampton also managed to sneak into the top 7, after beating Liverpool with three second half goals in their last match.
Team Odds To Score In Gameweek 32:
The table below displays the top seven teams based on the bookies odds to score anytime in Gameweek 32. The odds have been converted to an implied chance percentage.
| Team |
To Score |
| Arsenal |
73% |
| Chelsea |
60% |
| Man City |
52% |
| West Ham |
50% |
| Man United |
45% |
| Leicester |
42% |
| Liverpool |
42% |
The bookies are favouring
Arsenal to grab some goals against Watford, after racking up seven goals in their last four. There is quite a gap between the Gunners and
Chelsea, even though the latter face a very weak defence in Aston Villa, who haven't won since GW25.
Man City have a relatively low percentage from the bookies but have a great chance to make up for their derby defeat and record a few goals - especially against a far from solid defence in Bournemouth, who have conceded six in their last four outings.
Although
Liverpool have converted more than any other team in their last four matches, they only just squeeze into the bookies top seven. However, their opponents
Spurs don't feature at all, despite being strong in both attack and defence recently, demonstrated in their latest 3-0 victory.
Who Faces The Worst Defence In Gameweek 32:
The table below displays the top seven teams based on opposition defensive form. It highlights the opposing team's average number of goals conceded (GC) and big chances conceded (BCC) per game. The data taken from last four Premier League matches.
| Team |
Vs. |
GC |
BCC |
| che |
AVL |
10 |
14 |
| WHU |
cry |
8 |
10 |
| wat |
ARS |
7 |
7 |
| MUN |
eve |
7 |
7 |
| mci |
BOU |
6 |
7 |
| LEI |
sou |
6 |
7 |
| NOR |
new |
6 |
1 |
Again Aston Villa sit top of this table with their leaky defence. Villa's last clean sheet was back in GW25 against Norwich and their averages haven't really improved since, conceding 14 big chances in their last four games.
Chelsea will be ready to pounce.
With
West Ham averaging 1.75 goals per game and Crystal Palace conceding an average of two goals per game, the Hammers will be looking to capitalise on this. Palace haven't won a game since GW17, and have looked very sluggish in recent weeks.
Although the bookies are expecting Arsenal to do well against Watford, don't be surprised if they concede one themselves. The Hornets haven't scored since GW26, and despite Ighalo and Deeney misfiring, seem due a goal.
