Welcome back to another Fantasy Premier League Attacking Analysis For Gameweek 30 article. jamieFPL returns to analyse which teams have the highest chance of finding the back of the net this weekend.
The Gameweek 30 fixture list has been decimated due to rescheduling and we're left with just five matches instead of the usual ten. This means that our tables will be without the likes of Liverpool, Chelsea and Arsenal who all miss out.
We are going to use recent goalscoring form, opposition defensive statistics and the bookies odds to determine which teams have the best chance of scoring in Gameweek 30.
Recent Team Goalscoring Form:
The table below displays the top seven teams based on average goals per game (GPG). It also highlights how many of each team's goals were scored at home compared to away. The data taken from last four Premier League matches.
| Team |
Home |
Away |
GPG |
| Stoke |
3 |
4 |
1.75 |
| Bournemouth |
3 |
3 |
1.50 |
| Man City |
6 |
0 |
1.50 |
| Tottenham |
4 |
2 |
1.50 |
| Leicester |
3 |
2 |
1.25 |
| Swansea |
1 |
3 |
1.00 |
| Southampton |
2 |
1 |
0.75 |
Stoke have edged their way to the top of the goal scoring form table for Gameweek 30 on the back of their four match unbeaten run. The Potteries have proved consistent both home and away averaging 1.75 goals per game.
Bournemouth, Man City and Tottenham place just behind with 1.50 goals per game. The Cherries have shown no signs of struggling on the road, unlike Man City who have failed to score in their last two away from the Etihad.
Goals have been a minor issue for Spurs in the league recently, but a visit to Aston Villa should spring them back into life. Elsewhere, Leicester keep picking up the points, but with significantly less goals than in the first half of the season.
Team Odds To Score In Gameweek 30:
The table below displays the top seven teams based on the bookies odds to score anytime in Gameweek 30. The odds have been converted to an implied chance percentage.
| Team |
To Score |
| Leicester |
62% |
| Man City |
60% |
| Tottenham |
60% |
| Bournemouth |
44% |
| Stoke |
35% |
| Southampton |
32% |
| Norwich |
27% |
Leicester are the bookies favourites to score this weekend when they host Newcastle. The Foxes have slightly favoured home matches but shouldn't encounter too many problems scoring against one of the league's leakiest defences.
Man City fall narrowly behind in the bookies predictions, despite failing to score in their last two away outings. A visit to Carrow Road is the perfect opportunity for the blues to recover their poor form on the road.
Tottenham are tied with City at second and surprisingly considering their opposition, Aston Villa, who are conceding for fun. Pochettino rested the likes of Kane & Alli midweek in the Europa League, meaning the England youngsters will be fresh for their visit to Villa Park.
Who Faces The Worst Defence In Gameweek 30:
The table below displays the top seven teams based on opposition defensive form. It highlights the opposing team's average number of goals conceded (GC) and big chances conceded (BCC) per game. The data taken from last four Premier League matches.
| Team |
Vs. |
GC |
BCC |
| tot |
AVL |
15 |
15 |
| LEI |
new |
9 |
4 |
| mci |
NOR |
6 |
4 |
| STO |
sou |
5 |
6 |
| AVL |
tot |
5 |
5 |
| NOR |
mci |
5 |
4 |
| BOU |
swa |
4 |
9 |
Tottenham are the chosen ones this weekend as they face Aston Villa. The Villains have looked lifeless and a glance at the table displays this. Their whopping 15 big chances conceded have resulted in an average of 3.75 goals flying past them in the last four weeks.
Leicester have the second easiest fixture on paper and will be looking to maintain their five point lead at the top against Newcastle. Three points could be enough to take the Magpies out of the relegation zone this weekend, so don't expect it to be a complete pushover.
Man City will overtake Arsenal if they manage to beat Norwich at Carrow Road this weekend. The Canaries have just a point from their last ten matches, so it would be a big surprise to see Norwich take any points from this one.
