Welcome back to another Fantasy Premier League Attacking Analysis For Gameweek 29 article. This week Daniel Richardson returns to analyse which teams have the highest chance of finding the back of the net this weekend.
There was no shortage of goals last game week, however several big names including Kane, Aguero and Vardy failed to find the scoresheet, making it a low scoring week for many.
We are going to use recent goalscoring form, opposition defensive statistics and the bookies odds to determine which teams have the best chance of scoring.
Recent Team Goalscoring Form:
The table below displays the top seven teams based on average goals per game (GPG). It also highlights how many of each team's goals were scored at home compared to away. The data taken from last four Premier League matches:
| Team |
Home |
Away |
GPG |
| Liverpool |
5 |
6 |
2.75 |
| Chelsea |
6 |
4 |
2.50 |
| Everton |
3 |
6 |
2.25 |
| Arsenal |
3 |
4 |
1.75 |
| Leicester |
3 |
4 |
1.75 |
| Man United |
4 |
2 |
1.50 |
| Stoke |
3 |
3 |
1.50 |
The table shows that both
Liverpool and
Chelsea have been entertaining their fans both home and away with plenty of goals in their recent games. If the two teams had been in goalscoring form like this throughout the majority of this season they could have been strong title contenders.
Everton have also been in fine goalscoring form but unlike the previously aforementioned teams they've favoured away fixtures, scoring twice as many goals on the road.
The Toffee's missed out on last weekend's fixture as their opposition Liverpool were involved in the League Cup final, however they returned mid-week to smash three past Aston Villa.
Leicester and
Arsenal are in the best goal scoring form out of the top four teams, averaging just under two goals a game.
Both sides have tough fixtures Gameweek 29, Arsenal take part in a North London derby against rivals Tottenham, whilst Leicester travel to Vicarage Road to face a defensively sound Watford.
Team Odds To Score In Gameweek 29:
The table below displays the top seven teams based on the bookies odds to score anytime in Gameweek 29. The odds have been converted to an implied chance percentage:
| Team |
To Score |
| Man City |
80% |
| Chelsea |
64% |
| Everton |
60% |
| Southampton |
60% |
| Swansea |
50% |
| Tottenham |
48% |
| Man United |
45% |
The bookies seem very confident on
Man City finding the back of the net in their match against bottom of the league Aston Villa.
City failed to score against Liverpool mid-week after defeating them in the League Cup just days before. However, they should find no trouble putting a couple past a Villa side that have conceded 11 in their last four.
Chelsea are still on the up and the bookies have predicted that they will more than likely score over two goals against Stoke this weekend.
Diego Costa also looks to be playing much better under Guus Hiddink, netting four in his last four games. However, be wary transferring in any Chelsea players this weekend as they blank in Gameweek 30.
Everton feature surprisingly high up the table considering they face a West Ham side who during the week prevented Spurs from going top with an 1-0 victory. However, The Toffees have managed to score three goals in three of their last four matches.
Southampton will need to find their shooting boots if they're to meet the bookies expectations when they host Sunderland. Meanwhile, Swansea look set to convert against struggling Norwich and Tottenham are predicted to capitalise on the injuries to Cech and Koscielny.
Who Faces The Worst Defence In Gameweek 29:
The table below displays the top seven teams based on opposition defensive form. It highlights the opposing team's average number of goals conceded (GC) and big chances conceded (BCC) per game. The data taken from last four Premier League matches:
| Team |
Vs. |
GC |
BCC |
| MCI |
avl |
2.75 |
3.25 |
| mun |
WBA |
1.25 |
2.75 |
| nor |
SWA |
1.25 |
2.50 |
| WBA |
mun |
1.25 |
2.50 |
| CHE |
sto |
1.25 |
2.25 |
| avl |
MCI |
2.00 |
2.00 |
| liv |
CPL |
2.00 |
1.75 |
The stats above further highlight Man City's scoring potential in Gameweek 29. Especially with Villa's defensive flaws - conceding an average of 2.75 goals and 3.25 big chances per game.
After their poor mid-week performance, City will be looking to bounce back after their cup win celebrations were brought to an abrupt end against Liverpool on Wednesday night.
Manchester United have been stepping up their goalscoring form slightly in recent matches, finding the net 12 times in their last five matches in all competitions.
This could be the perfect match-up for United, as The Baggies have kept just one clean sheet in their 19 Premier League games against the Red Devils.
Norwich will need to improve and take their chances when they arise when they face Swansea who have conceded 1.25 goals and 2.5 big chances per game.
The Canaries are in the danger zone, so will be desperate for all three-points. With this in mind an open game is expected - they looked dangerous versus Chelsea and with their home fans behind them, they will aim to build on this performance.
Chelsea have scored nine goals in their last three Premier League games, and if they're to have any chance of challenging the top 10, they will need to tap into this goalscoring form once again. The Potters have won just one of their last 14 away trips to London (W1 D5 L8).
