Gameweek 5 Attacking Potential: Form vs Fixture vs Odds

Gameweek 5 Attacking Potential: Form vs Fixture vs Odds

Which team has the best attacking potential for Gameweek 5? We’ve analysed attacking form, fixture difficulty and the bookies odds to reveal which teams are going to score the highest.

Ahead of Gameweek 5, @CallumRead has compiled the data and created another forecast which hopefully provides results with a similar accuracy to last week. Not only is this useful when selecting your FPL team, it’s also a great visual aid for daily fantasy players.

How is the data calculated?

Every team has been rated 1 to 20 (1: best in the league, 20: worst in the league) based on form, fixture and odds. We’ve then totalled up all three scores and colour coded them for you to easily visualise which ones have the best goalscoring potential for Gameweek 5.

Gameweek 5 Best Overall Attacking Potential:

Best Attacking Form Ahead of Gameweek 5:

TeamGoals ScoredChances CreatedBig Chances
MCI115111
LIV9648
CHE9599
ARS8366
EVE75611

Manchester City top the attacking form table and for those doubting their attacking quality without Sergio Aguero should take note of the Manchester Derby, Pep Guardiola’s side dispatched of their Manchester rivals 2-1 without the services of Aguero.

This weekend will be the same for the Citizens, and their final Premier League game without the Argentine, Kevin De Bruyne scored his first goal of the season against former manager Jose Mourinho last weekend, it was his first goal from 15 attempts – the third most shots from any midfielder. The Belgian has also created the joint most chances in the Premier League with 14.

If you’re looking to get Aguero back into your side come Gameweek 6 then consider the cheaper striker Kelechi iheanacho who has two assists and one goal to his name in the Premier League – the youngster is impressing with every passing game and provides a cheap differential pick with just 5.7% of FPL managers selecting him.

Liverpool place second on the table, their fans will be rubbing their hands together at the thought of facing a Chelsea defence without John Terry. Although Daniel Sturridge is yet to score this season he has had nine shots on goal in 143 minutes, had two big chances and registered one assist. The former Chelsea striker will be desperate to get one over on his former employees.

Roberto Firmino is looking like a real star already this season, the Brazilian has scored two goals and grabbed one assist in four Premier League games and he’s also created the joint most chances from midfielders in the Premier League (14) as well as having 10 shots on goal.

Chelsea manager Antonio Conte has stated this week his side need to score more goals from the amount of chances they are creating. Diego Costa has looked a man possessed upfront for the Blues, scoring four goals already this campaign. The Spaniard has had 14 shots on goal and created four chances. His teammate, Eden Hazard had an off day against Swansea and will need to step up to the plate against Liverpool. The Belgian has created 10 chances this season and had 16 goal attempts – the first most in the league.

Arsenal started both Alexis Sanchez and Olivier Giroud on the bench in their 2-1 win over Southampton in Gamweek 4, and it’s fair to say the Gunners looked a much more cohesive attacking unit when both men were on the pitch. Alexis scored the equaliser in France to give Arsenal a point against PSG and despite his red card Giroud looked very dangerous when on the field. We’re not 100% confident that the Frenchman will start though, so from the Arsenal side make sure you look at Alexis Sanchez.

Everton complete the table and whilst their midfield offers a lot of rotation headaches, upfront Romelu Lukaku is going to be their first choice striker. His hat trick against Sunderland on Monday night has pushed him back into the FPL limelight with the Everton front man now being owned by 14% of managers. He’s had the most big chances (6) in the Premier League, had 15 attempts on goal and created six chances.

Best Attacking Fixture For Gameweek 5:

TeamVs.Goals ConcededBig Chances Conceded
CRYSTO1010
WBAWHU98
TOTSUN87
MNUWAT87
BURLEI75

In terms of which clubs have the most attractive attacking fixture in Gameweek 5, based on statistics, we are presented with five completely new sides.

As Guy Sanchez noted on his article, that can be viewed here FPL could start to become a game of ‘Who plays Stoke City.’ The Potters have conceded 10 goals this season, they look a shambles at the back and are still without their star Goakeeper Jack Butland. A lot of pundits have expressed concern for Mark Hughes side and after their 4-0 defeat to Spurs last weekend things don’t look to be improving.

Enough on Stoke, lets look at their opponents this weekend, Crystal Palace. Firstly, new signing Christian Benteke grabbed his first goal in a Palace shirt last weekend and looks to be a really solid acquisition. Alan Pardew’s side are heavily attacking down the wings and playing to the advantages of Benteke – his aerial ability.

Speaking of attacking down the wings, Andros Townsend has had an impressive 15 Goal Attempts and one big chance already this season and he’s also created seven chances at just £6.4m, the Palace winger provides a cheap midfielder option.

You’d struggle to find someone stacking the West Brom attack, Saido Berahino took the place of Salomon Rondon last weekend but it’s hard to see the Englishman keeping his place after a disappointing performance. Rondon provides a real danger in the air and is a handful for opposition defenders. He’s had 12 shots on goal and created four chances and scored one goal – if you want attacking coverage from West Brom – he’s our tip.

Spurs grabbed four goals against Stoke last weekend but more importantly, Harry Kane found the back of the net for the first time this season. It’s really hard to overlook a striker of Kane’s quality because once he starts scoring, he won’t stop. Sure he didn’t find the back of the net against Monaco but I’d take their defence over Sunderland’s any day of the week.

Spurs midfielder Son Heung Min also found himself on the scoresheet against Stoke, he grabbed himself a brace. The midfielder has only had three shots on goal and scored twice and also created three chances, elsewhere Dele Alli has had nine goal attempts and created six chances – we believe out of the two midfielders Alli provides a better attacking points return.

Elsewhere, we’d be ridiculed if we didn’t mention Zlatan Ibrahimovic of Manchester United the Swede has proved already this season that he has the ability to score even when he’s not playing well – many questioned his expensive price tag but so far, he’s proving them wrong.

As for Burnley, Andre Gray is the forward we suggest owning if you want some coverage of Sean Dyche’s men but at this moment in time it’s hard to justify his selection due to a possible ban hitting the Burnley frontman. Sam Vokes has found the back of the net once this season from four shots and has also created three chances.

Bookies Odds To Score In Gameweek 5:

TeamTo Score 2+Implied Chance
MCI1.3076.92%
TOT1.3673.53%
LEI1.5365.36%
ARS, MNU1.6759.88%
EVE1.73 57.80%

The bookies odds are always provide an unbiased opinion and provide an eye opening look at the weekends fixtures.

Manchester City top the bookies odds table and rightly so, they face Bournemouth at home this weekend and even without Sergio Aguero most would back them to score twice in front of their own fans.

Tottenham fall into second place and will be high on confidence when they host Sunderland in front of their own fans. A combination of a poor defence and a strong attacking unit make the Spurs attacking options an eye catching selection.

Leicester fans will be on Cloud 9 after their 3-0 Champions League win over Club Brugge, Riyad Mahrez found himself on the scoresheet twice with Mark Alrbrighton also scoring. The Algerian is still our must have in the Leicester side despite a slow start in the Premier League. He’s had 12 chances on goal and created eight chances as well as collecting one assist.

Manchester United and Arsenal are fourth on the list and as mentioned in the article, Zlatan is currently a must have right? With Sergio Aguero out injured the Manchester United frontman provides goalscoring threat in each and every game. For Arsenal, Alexis is expected to come back into the starting XI after being rested against Southampton last weekend.

It’s always dangerous owning a midfielder from a side that like to rotate, that’s why it’s so hard to nail down an Everton midfielder – instead we’d suggest owning Romelu Lukaku if you want to own someone from the Blue side of Merseyside.

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1 Comment
  1. Great article man. Very useful

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