Gameweek 10 Betting Tips – Sack Race and Goals


Last week we referenced the latest odds in regards to who will win (or I guess lose) the latest edition of the Premier League sack race and although Everton may have got the better of West Ham last weekend, it is fair to say that Marco SIlva is not out of the woods just yet.

That’s because Silva is still favourite to be the next man who is sacked, although his odds have drifted quite considerably, last week they were at the rather precarious 1.80 and now they are at the less sticky 2.88 – a price which will at least buy the Toffees manager some time.

The question though, is just how does that compare with the other 19 managers that are currently in charge of a Premier League club – of course I’m not going to insult your intelligence by listing odds for the likes of Pep Guardiola and Jurgen Klopp, but here are the men who are in the most peril.

Marco Silva (Everton) 1.88
Mauricio Pochettino (Tottenham) 4.00
Ole Gunnar Solskjaer (Manchester United) 4.50
Steve Bruce (Newcastle) and Ralph Hasenhuttl (Southampton) anywhere between 11.00 and 16.00

What is interesting is that after Pochettino’s failure to mastermind a win over Watford, he has now moved up to second in the managerial sack list and you do wonder if a defeat to Liverpool will shorten those odds even further.

Not only that but Ralph Hasenhuttl has now entered the band of brothers who are fighting to avoid being handed a P45 and after a solid showing in his first season in charge, has the Austrian’s methods now been found out to a certain degree?


Now tipping straight up wins has become something of a fruitless pursuit as of late and therefore I am going to change tact this week, a tact that sees us look solely at the goals markets over the next few days.

With a full weekend of Premier League action on the horizon and one that starts on Friday night (so FPL managers don’t forget the earlier than usual deadline) I’m going to look at the best picks in the BTTS and under/overs markets.

Liverpool vs Tottenham – BTTS

Liverpool have played four games at Anfield this season and all of them have ended in a BTTS outcome, add into the mix that Tottenham have played a quartet of games on the road and of those, three have ended in the same display of goals at each end.

Which when you add the two components together, should make BTTS at Anfield this week all but a home banker and this is reflected in the odds of 1.57, that are currently being offered to punters.

Admittedly this alone will not make you rich, although it does look like a worthwhile bit of accumulator fodder over the course of the weekend and especially with the attacking talents that both teams have at their disposal.

Summary: Back BTTS on Sunday

Manchester City vs Aston Villa – Overs Market

Of the first nine Premier League games that Manchester City have played this season, seven of those have ended in a total of 3.5 goals being scored and when you consider that they play host to Aston Villa on Saturday, there is every chance of that record being extended.

Not only because Dean Smith’s men have the potential to be rather porous at the back, but they do have a promising goal-threat of their own and one that will only help push along the goal tally at the Etihad this weekend.

Therefore over 3.5 goals at odds of 1.62 is not to be sniffed at, especially when you consider that over 2.5 total goals is at the rather slim odds of 1.25 by comparison. In this tip, it pays to be a little bit bolder.

Summary: Over 3.5 total goals at the Etihad.

Newcastle vs Wolves – Unders Market

With Newcastle being the joint lowest goalscorers in the Premier League at present, you always lean towards their matches being ones that will not have a flurry of goals and when you consider that they play host to Wolves on Sunday, this could also prove to be the case.

Wolves are not quite at their free-flowing best and seven of their nine league encounters have ended with under 2.5 total goals at full time. Add that stat to the secret ingredient of a goal shy Newcastle and another low scoring game on Tyneside is where the smart money should go.

Summary: Under 2.5 total goals at 1.53 at St James Park.

While if you are feeling really brave, all three elements combined into a treble works out at 2.89/1.

Tottenham Fan. Football Writer, Podcaster and Statistician.

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