Fantasy Champions League Tips: April 12/13

The Champions League Quarter Final Second Leg fixtures take place this week with several of Europe’s giants all looking to book a spot in the semi-finals.

@jamieFPL is here to provide you with fantasy Champions League tips for daily fantasy football betting on Mondogoal and FantasyBet contests.

This article will give an overview of the bookies clean sheet and goalscoring implications, before analysing fixture-by-fixture our predictions for April 12th & 13th.

Fixtures:

April 12th

Man City (2) vs (2) PSG
Real Madrid (0) vs (2) Wolfsburg

April 13th

Atletico Madrid (1) vs (2) Barcelona
Benfica (0) vs (1) Bayern Munich

Clean Sheet Odds

TeamImplied Chance %
Real Madrid44.44%
Bayern43.48%
Barcelona36.36%
Atletico26.67%
PSG25.00%
Man City23.09%
Benfica18.18%
Wolfsburg06.67%

Odds To Score

TeamImplied Chance %
Real Madrid98.04%
Bayern89.29%
PSG83.33%
Man City81.97%
Barcelona80.00%
Atletico71.43%
Benfica63.69%
Wolfsburg62.50%

Real Madrid (0) vs (2) Wolfsburg

A surprise home victory for Wolfsburg has given the German’s a well needed safety net ahead of their visit to the Bernabeu Stadium. Despite dominating possession, Real Madrid failed to find the net after Max Arnold made it two-nil shortly after Ricardo Rodríguez’s opener from the penalty spot.

The win extended Wolfsburg’s record to five consecutive Champions League victories but this Tuesday will be the biggest test yet. Zinedine Zidane’s side have won all but one of their nine games at the Bernabeu, scoring 37 goals in that time. A resolute defensive performance and an away goal will be crucial in their attempt to conquer the German side.

You can expect Real Madrid to go at this one guns blazing, looking for an early goal to close the deficit and cause the visitors some nerves. The Spaniards have averaged 4.25 goals a game at home from their last four, conceding just once in the process – which justifies their top ranking on both of the bookies odds tables.

Loading your team up with the maximum amount of Real Madrid players allowed on daily fantasy sites will be the common approach. Cristiano Ronaldo stepped up when needed against Barcelona this month and will be expected to again in this tie. Expect his ownership to be high, and fade him at your own risk.

Our Prediction:

Real Madrid 3-0 Wolfsburg

Key Players:

Cristiano Ronaldo (Mondogoal: £15.6m, FantasyBet: £16.0m)
Marcelo (Mondogoal: £8.5m, FantasyBet: £7.0m)
Sergio Ramos (Mondogoal: £6.7m, FantasyBet: £7.0m)
Gareth Bale  (Mondogoal: £10.2m, FantasyBet: £13.0m)

Man City (2) vs (2) PSG

Manchester City escaped Parc des Princes with a couple of vital away goals and now hold the advantage ahead of the return tie this week. Kevin De Bruyne put City ahead with a composed finish shortly after Joe Hart denied Zlatan Ibrahimovic from the penalty spot. Goals from Ibrahimovic and Rabiot gave the French side the lead before Fernandinho’s deflected shot pulled things level.

City’s defensive frailties shone in the first leg and they have only kept one clean sheet in nine Champions League games this term. News that skipper Vincent Kompany will not be featuring, despite returning to full training, means that Otamendi and Mangala will again be placed with the mammoth task of keeping PSG top goalscorer Ibrahimovic at bay.

Having already secured the Ligue 1 title, PSG rested a number of key players in their league tie against Guingamp on Saturday. Goalkeeper Kevin Trapp was forced off at halftime with a thigh injury but Laurent Blanc has played down any talks of him missing the second leg. Elsewhere, David Luiz and Blaise Matuidi will miss the fixture due to suspension.

We agree with the bookies on this one and think it’s hard to see either team coming away from this one with a clean sheet. Out of the four fixtures we could see this one heading to extra time, so loading up on a couple of attackers from both sides would be a wise move from a daily fantasy perspective.

Our Prediction:

Man City 2-2 PSG

Key Players:

Zlatan Ibrahimovic (Mondogoal: £18.2m, FantasyBet: £13.0m)
Lucas Moura (Mondogoal: £7.2m, FantasyBet: £8.0m)
Kevin De Bruyne (Mondogoal: £9.1m, FantasyBet: £11.0m)
David Silva (Mondogoal: £8.1m, FantasyBet: £11.0m)

Atletico Madrid (1) vs (2) Barcelona

Two second half goals from Luis Suarez were enough to give Barcelona the edge heading into the second leg at the Vicente Calderón Stadium. Fernando Torres went from hero to zero after giving the hosts the lead on the quarter mark, before being sent off 10 minutes later for receiving his second yellow.

Following their defeat in the El Classico, Barcelona have only managed to win one of their last four matches (their 2-1 win over Atletico in the first leg). Their 1-0 defeat to Real Sociedad in La Liga marked their first back-to-back losses in the league since November 2014 and enabled Atletico to close the gap to just three points following their 3-1 victory over Espanyol.

Barcelona have only managed to keep three clean sheets in their last 11 away matches so there’s still hope for Atletico. The visitors are seeing a notable dip in form and will want to put in a convincing performance here to show they still have what it takes to secure the treble.

Lionel Messi, Luis Suarez and Neymar have scored 44 of Barcelona’s 53 Champions League goals since last season (83%). Whenever Barcelona are involved daily fantasy managers are posed with the same headache of which of MSN to select. Elsewhere, Dani Alves’s assist last week means no player has more from the past two Champions League campaigns (7 – joint with Cristiano Ronaldo).

Our Prediction:

Atletico Madrid 1-2 Barcelona

Key Players:

Luis Suarez (Mondogoal: £12.5m, FantasyBet: £13.0m)
Antoine Griezmann (Mondogoal: £9.6m, FantasyBet: £12.0m)
Jordi Alba (Mondogoal: £8.3m, FantasyBet: £7.0m)
Dani Alves (Mondogoal: £7.7m, FantasyBet: £7.0m)

Benfica (0) vs (1) Bayern Munich

Bayern carry a one goal advantage into the second leg after Arturo Vidal fired them ahead just two minutes into the first leg. A well organised defensive display from the visitors means that there’s still hope for Benfica on the return leg, as they welcome the German side to Portugal.

Benfica were handed a huge blow after Jonas picked up a booking in the first leg – he’ll now be sidelined due to suspension for the reverse fixture. To make matters worse, Nicolas Gaitan missed training on Monday, and isn’t expected to be fit in time. Bayern however, will be inclined to stick with the same lineup as the first leg and rested a number of key players ahead of the clash.

Benfica have won 20 of their last 22 games in all competitions, but Bayern are unbeaten in their last 11 away matches in all competitions. Without Jonas and Gaitan it’s hard to see Benfica taking anything from this one, though we do expect a strong defensive performance that keeps them in contention throughout.

The bookies imply that Bayern have a 43.48% chance of keeping a clean sheet which casts them narrowly behind favourites Real Madrid. Loading up on their defensive proved profitable last week and we’re expecting a repeat of that. Manuel Neuer is a reliable pick for between your sticks, whilst Juan Bernat could double up your defensive returns whilst offering more from the other end of the pitch.

Our Prediction:

Benfica 0-2 Bayern

Key Players:

Manuel Neuer (Mondogoal: £7.9m, FantasyBet: £7.0m)
Juan Bernat (Mondogoal: £7.5m, FantasyBet: £6.0m)
Douglas Costa (Mondogoal: £6.3m, FantasyBet: £9.5m)

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